prev <-> next
[2022-08-17 04:51:10] - paul: "greatest human being alive today?" definitely not musk, no. maybe the greatest ceo . . . or greatest human at getting money or something. it does not surprise me in the least that some people on twitter fetishize musk. ~a
[2022-08-17 02:29:42] - Daniel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-0C6hnkwcpg How about this? -Paul
[2022-08-17 02:25:37] - a: Not sure about there always being a cue to tell. I suppose if the unit shoots far... that's your cue?
-Paul[2022-08-17 02:25:02] - a: https://twitter.com/michaelmalice/status/1559659428189798400 Randomly bringing us back to the Musk : Successful point. I saw this on Twitter and Musk seems to be by far the most common response. Not entirely sure where Michael Malice stands on the political spectrum (I don't follow him, but somehow his tweet showed up in my feed), so there's potential for bias there... -Paul
[2022-08-16 17:16:14] - i assume you can always click on the unit, but who has time for that. ~a
[2022-08-16 17:14:57] - a: Though I say that but like do hydras change appearance for their upgrades? If so I've never noticed so maybe not all units? -Daniel
[2022-08-16 17:14:17] - a: phoenix range is purple instead of blue. I think most units have a visual cue somehow if you know what to look for. -Daniel
[2022-08-16 17:13:44] - paul: Need one of those 4 colussus vs 10 lurker videos to see who wins. Just cause they have longer range doesn't mean they win. -Daniel
[2022-08-16 17:13:28] - i didn't realize you could upgrade their range. does every unit have a visual or auditory cue so you know if it's been upgraded or not? i know speedlings and blue-flame do. what about the others? phoenix-range? colossus-range? etc? ~a
[2022-08-16 17:09:08] - Daniel: TIL that upgraded Lurkers have longer range than upgraded Colossi... -Paul
[2022-08-15 18:46:19] - nice. one less thing to worry about, i guess. ~a
[2022-08-15 18:45:10] - https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/04/great-barrier-reef-areas-show-highest-coral-cover-seen-in-36-years.html Some good news? "On the central and northern regions, hard coral cover reached 33% and 36% this year, respectively, the highest level recorded in the past 36 years of monitoring" -Paul
[2022-08-15 18:27:25] - yah. ~a
[2022-08-15 18:27:06] - a: Not sure I see the problem with the horse carriage thing. The car seemed to be behaving properly, right? I guess the issue is it had trouble identifying the carriage? But you also said you don't want or expect that.... -Paul
[2022-08-15 18:24:53] - a: "the others are less grifts and more usual-musk-stuff which is being a pro-salesman" Yeah, I think the biggest difference is I am a bit skeptical of hyperloop being obviously a grift (willing to believe it, but the "proof" seems like hearsay right now) and... I guess I also see the hyperloop as like the 7th most important part of the Musk story? Like I said, I mostly had forgotten about it. -Paul
[2022-08-15 18:22:49] - a: "hyperloop will probably never be built" Seems reasonable. I honestly kind of lost track of hyperloop since there has been no news on it lately and there's so much other Musk stuff going on (solar, fsd, neurolink, optimus, boring company, spacex....) -Paul
[2022-08-15 16:53:06] - paul: i swear this just ended up in my feed today (no, i don't want or expect a carriage to show up "correctly" in fsd, but if you've seen tesla fsd this is par for the course when pitted against normal-every-day-shit) ~a
[2022-08-15 15:44:08] - paul: ok, well then let's focus where we agree. hyperloop will probably never be built, and it's possible he said everything about hyperloop with an intent. the others are less grifts and more usual-musk-stuff which is being a pro-salesman. ~a
[2022-08-15 15:42:33] - a: I guess it comes back to intent a bit? Like, cons are supposed to cheat somebody out of something to benefit the con man, right? So what exactly is he gaining from his Starlink grift? His FSD grift? His hyperloop grift? He wanted to spend all that time and money to crush high speed rail for shits and giggles? I can actually believe that to a degree for Hyperloop. But I don't see the con for the others. -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:41:52] - paul: at least with starlink: 1. no bad intent, imo. 2. it actually works! ~a
[2022-08-15 15:41:12] - paul: yes, i'll try to focus more on the former. sorry if i've been laying on the latter a bit too hard, but really in my mind it's the first thing. ~a
[2022-08-15 15:40:02] - a: "that seems very generous" I guess it depends on what kind of criticism? If Starlink fails I think it's fine to be like, "Why did he think something like that would work?". I think it's odd to be like, "Look at that con man, telling everybody he could deliver internet from satellites! What a grifter." -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:32:39] - paul: "maybe you're right he tried it for bad intents" ok i guess we mostly agree. ~a
[2022-08-15 15:30:34] - paul: "Doesn't seem like something to criticize him for" for failures? you're suggesting we ignore his failures. that seems very generous. ~a
[2022-08-15 15:27:37] - a: Ah, okay, so Hyperloop and Starlink are the grifty scammy stuff? *Shrug* I guess we will see. I'll admit the Hyperloop seems like it is going nowhere (I always thought the idea was a little weird) and maybe you're right he tried it for bad intents. Not sure what the con is for Starlink, though. I think it's more likely he aims high and sometimes fails. Doesn't seem like something to criticize him for. -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:26:17] - paul: ok. ~a
[2022-08-15 15:25:52] - a: I don't know. But "I heard Musk's biographer said Hyperloop is a scam" is a far cry from "Elon Musk admitted it was a scam". Otherwise I guess Biden admitted to molesting Tara Reade? -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:25:27] - paul: oops, i forgot a word. ~a
[2022-08-15 15:25:06] - paul: wait no. i agree that tesla was part of his 50% of hits. so NOT tesla, the fast growing, ev revolution car company. ~a
[2022-08-15 15:24:28] - yes. ~a
[2022-08-15 15:24:13] - A: So Tesla, the fast growing, EV revolution leading car company is "pretty grifty rolled in blatant lies and scams"? -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:23:56] - paul: yes, i agree, he admitted to his biographer that it was all a scam. you think the biographer is lying? ~a
[2022-08-15 15:22:54] - paul: yes, that one. ~a
[2022-08-15 15:22:41] - a: Uh, I see plenty of speculation, based around something his biographer said, but that's about it. -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:22:40] - paul: as i mentioned he's a mix of good and bad. high functioning con-man. 50% hit-rate seems to be a fair assessment if you focus on the fact that the *remaining* 50% is pretty grifty rolled in blatant lies and scams. ~a
[2022-08-15 15:19:49] - paul: he admitted to his biographer that he made up the idea of hyperloop to kill the califoria high-speed rail project AND that he had no plan on actually making it. iow, all a scam. i was complaining about that last week. did you want a link? i figured you would have seen the link by now considering how you're such an intense musk-follower. did you not see it? ~a
[2022-08-15 15:16:39] - a: But sure, even if I grant the FSD is an enormous scam that will never work and Starlink is an unprofitable disaster.... I still don't get how those are somehow bigger than effectively (I know he wasn't the founder) creating Tesla and creating SpaceX and helping to found PayPal. So he only has a 50% hit-rate on creating massively innovative and successful companies? Okay... -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:14:00] - https://www.newsweek.com/what-elon-musk-has-said-about-covid-tesla-ceo-says-hes-caught-it-again-1692355 "Based on current trends, probably close to zero new cases in U.S. too by end of April," I think this was 2020? -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:13:05] - a: Where did he admit it was a scam? -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:12:48] - a: Pretty sure early on he was like, "Yeah, this will all be gone in a few weeks" or something like that. -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:12:25] - paul: "The hyperloop" he already admitted this was a scam. how about that for a criticism? ~a
[2022-08-15 15:12:22] - a: Because there's nowhere to go with your criticisms. You say Starlink will never be profitable and FSD can't work. I think FSD will work and I don't know about Starlink. What's next? -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:11:57] - "He was really wrong about COVID" what did he say about covid? ~a
[2022-08-15 15:11:29] - a: So I'm trying to address criticism that, for lack of a better term, has already been resolved. The Model 3 will never have arrived on the original schedule and is pretty unlikely to get to that promised $35k price point. He was really wrong about COVID. The hyperloop and boring company and solar city haven't done much. -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:11:24] - paul: if you've been reading them why did you mention "Is he ridiculously optimistic about timelines"? this is not a criticism we've mentioned: and it IS nit-picky. it feels like a blatant straw-man, where you reply to an argument you know you can win instead of replying to the argument made? ~a
[2022-08-15 15:09:22] - couldn't go from high-end vehicles to mass producing a mainstream car or can't sell without dealerships or can't land rockets... Elon's been wrong about a TON of stuff, and some big stuff, so maybe FSD and Starlink will be huge flops, but I am not assuming they will be just yet. -Paul
[2022-08-15 15:07:51] - a: I have been reading the criticisms, but so far they're all just, like, your opinion, man.
Can FSD not work without Lidar? I guess we'll find out! Starlink can never be profitable? We will see! All I can tell you is that a TON of very smart people had a bunch of really good reasons why you couldn't create a new domestic car manufacturer or couldn't make EVs work or... -Paul[2022-08-15 14:55:16] - daniel: they go to the same same place, and neither of them have "notifications". i do get notifications for here though!
i don't reply because i hardly ever check my email. even my work email often gets ignored now that everybody is on slack (slack gives me notifications on my phone and computer). ~a[2022-08-15 14:53:01] - a: I put two different emails on the sc2 email cause I noticed I had two. Do they end up in the same place or do you get notifications for both? Sometimes you don't reply so I wasn't sure if maybe I had been using a "wrong" one. -Daniel
[2022-08-15 13:58:29] - paul: FSD *can't* work without radar and without lidar. starlink *can't* make a profit with what's in the sky right now. the investors in what's currently in-use in starlink will lose 100% of their money. neurolink is a literal crime against humanity. ~a
[2022-08-15 13:57:22] - paul: "he's accomplished" yes i agreed multiple times that he's accomplished. "criticisms are pretty nitpicky compared to his accomplishments" i think the accomplishments are pretty meh compared to his criticisms. "Is he ridiculously optimistic about timelines" these are not the criticisms we've been providing. i feel like you haven't been reading the criticisms. ~a
[2022-08-15 13:55:05] - a: Sure, but my point is that I think you can hate the guy and still think he's accomplished a huge amount. And personally? I feel like the criticisms are pretty nitpicky compared to his accomplishments. Is he ridiculously optimistic about timelines? Of course. But how important is it that the model 3 was X years late versus the fact that he almost single-handedly transitioned the world from ICE to EVs? -Paul
[2022-08-15 13:06:24] - paul: as i mentioned in my comment over the weekend, he's just a huge mix of good and bad. i don't deny that he did some amazing things. but i'll still hate him for all the bad he has done. ~a
[2022-08-15 12:59:16] - paul: when he uses those great accomplishments to lie about what his innovations can do, or worse, to crush public transportation, i have an issue. does this surprise you? he's a high functioning confidence man. maybe the most successful con-man of all time. ~a
[2022-08-15 00:29:41] - and bypassing the dealership model. -Paul
[2022-08-15 00:29:27] - Even if you hate his cars and think they're too heavy and FSD is stupid and everything else.... it's hard to deny that he created like the first new domestic car brand in decades, while making EVs (something everybody thought was super impractical), and basically convinced all the other car manufacturers that they needed to switch to EVs as well. Oh, and building out their own gas station network (supercharger network)... -Paul
[2022-08-15 00:20:56] - Daniel: But obviously this is something people can and do disagree on. I just don't quite get it. I hate most Apple products but I still can appreciate just how incredibly successful Jobs was and how he changed so much about American life. -Paul
[2022-08-15 00:19:18] - company as Gates and Jobs and Bezos, but he's also done more than "just" turn Tesla into a trillion dollar company. He's also doing amazing things with SpaceX and interesting stuff with neurolink and optimus and also played a big role in digital payments with PayPal. -Paul
[2022-08-15 00:17:28] - Daniel: I was mostly thinking of business people, but even still.... I don't disagree that strong arguments can be made for people like Rowling or Bogle or Feige. How about Norman Borlaug? I'm sure we could brainstorm lots of worthy individuals. I just think that it's really hard for me the accept any argument that Musk isn't up there. I think he has been just as instrumental in creating a transformative... -Paul
[2022-08-13 14:20:35] - paul/daniel: i feel like musk is kinda some good and some bad. his cars are heavy, his FSD doesn't/can't work, his starlink will never turn a profit. but he also has spacex, and electric cars have some potential for good. it's kinda like how jeff bezos has some good stuff about his inventions (aws) and some bad stuff (shitty labor/etc practices). and mark zuckerberg, and the waltons, and steve jobs, and walt disney, etc. ~a
[2022-08-13 05:57:53] - Reading that back looks like I thought Kevin Feige invented E-Trade. I don't think that but was just continuing my brainstorming
-Daniel[2022-08-13 05:55:40] - LeBron? Trying to even think of other candidates and thinking outside the box of just shareholder / stock performance. Honestly maybe John Bogle for inventing / popularizing the index funds? Who invented E-Trade? Kevin Feige? Its hard to judge "successful and accomplished" across different careers. Like does Putin deserve to be on the list? Perhaps? -Daniel
[2022-08-13 05:52:09] - " mount rushmore of successful and accomplished people of my lifetime," - Hmmmmmmm Gates, Obama, Jobs, JK Rowling? I'm not sure about the last spot, I could see an arugment for Musk but mostly based on SpaceX for me. I get he's done other things but I mostly shrug at them. Other contenders would certainly be Bezos, (pick a Koch brother or Rove or maybe Gingrich?), honestly maybe Trump under this standard for constantly failing upward?...
[2022-08-13 02:59:08] - Feels like he might have had something to do with some of that success. -Paul
[2022-08-13 02:58:38] - Tesla was founded in 2003. Musk became the largest shareholder in 2004. He became CEO in 2008. The Roadster (its first car) came out in 2009. So since he became CEO they went from no cars in production to around 1 million and the stock went up 200x.... -Paul
[2022-08-13 02:55:14] - I dunno. If I was making a mount rushmore of successful and accomplished people of my lifetime, I would consider it criminal if Musk wasn't on it. Not sure how Tesla was "handed" to Musk. -Paul
[2022-08-13 02:52:44] - a: They had their one hit and pretty much haven't done anything else. Gates and Bezos have done a bit more. Musk has had a major impact on digital currencies AND EVs AND self-driving tech AND private space flight. -Paul
[2022-08-13 02:51:13] - a: Sure, I'll grant you most of those people are pretty accomplished (No Satoshi Nakamoto?
). And I'll agree you can make a strong argument some belong above Musk. But Brin/Page/Shuttleworth/Hastings are all pretty much one trick ponies. -Paul[2022-08-13 02:48:44] - a: But the fact that it works, when apparently a lot of other things don't, and well enough to impact one of the major military conflicts of the past decade or two, makes me think it might be more than a joke. -Paul
[2022-08-13 02:47:42] - a: I'm not sure what metric I would use for Starlink. I honestly hardly gave it any thought until you started referring to it as a joke. I don't think I'm the target market since I live in a major metropolitan area with easy access to high speed internet. -Paul
[2022-08-13 02:46:34] - a: "have you used tesla fsd?" Nope. But I also haven't used an iPhone, but I can still realize a lot of people swear by it and it has by most reasonable metrics been a pretty revolutionary device by a pretty successful company. -Paul
[2022-08-13 00:51:16] - I mean, I read it. So I guess that's a win for Trump? First think he's said or written in well over a year that I've paid any intentional attention to. Mostly any non-intentional, even. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-12 19:19:54] - Yeah I'm with miguel, that seems more like a tweet than what I would normally think of as a press release. -Daniel
[2022-08-12 19:16:57] - a: i've looked at a lot of his "press releases" and they seem to just be subsitutes for his normal tweeting habits. - mig
[2022-08-12 18:56:26] - i must be being trolled. ~a
[2022-08-12 18:55:59] - wtf even IS this? that's the whole press release? does ANYBODY review his press releases? i feel like the first person who saw this had to have been, uuuuh, . . . let's at least make it three sentences? sorry, no, "Word is, lots" doesn't count as a sentence. "How many of them pertained to nuclear?" hmmm it seems like that sentence is missing a few words as well? ~a
[2022-08-12 02:30:59] - paul: tesla was handed to musk and he did propel the company into a company into the future in many ways but celebrity worship is kinda lame in my opinion. ~a
[2022-08-12 02:30:13] - paul: "What living person has more accomplishments than Musk in your eyes? I can't think of many." larry page. sergey brin. linus torvalds. mark shuttleworth. bill gates. reed hastings. (ugh, technically) jeff bezos. musk's dad was super rich and gave him shit-tons of money. i do think spacex is cool, and it mostly wasn't handed to musk. ~a
[2022-08-12 02:08:27] - paul: starlink works. it's successful if that's your only metric. it will never turn a profit, and lots of (private) investors that invested in starlink are about to lose a fuckton of money. your ukranian link only suggests to me that it works, which i definitely agree with. ~a
[2022-08-12 02:06:57] - paul: "people would disagree with you about FSD being a joke" have you used tesla fsd? i imagine they might be able to work out some of the kinks, but it's also possible they may never work out all of the kinks without adding lidar and without adding radar. i'm not the only one who feels this way. not using lidar was done to save money and not using radar was done to save money. most of their competitors use BOTH for good reason. ~a
[2022-08-11 23:44:16] - (for those who haven't heard, apparently the CDC is no longer recommending quarantining for people with COVID and is no longer differentiating between vaccinated and unvaccinated for recommendations). -Paul
[2022-08-11 23:42:37] - https://twitter.com/NPR/status/1557816501796851714 "it does represent an increasing focus on individuals making their own decisions about their level of risk and how they want to mitigate that risk" I feel like that kind of thinking would get people accused of being crockpot anti-science deniers a year or two ago. -Paul
[2022-08-11 23:41:27] - a: I don't think somebody gets to be the world's richest person (by being instrumental in creating one of the world's largest companies) without a few reasonably sized accomplishments. -Paul
[2022-08-11 23:38:58] - a: What living person has more accomplishments than Musk in your eyes? I can't think of many. -Paul
[2022-08-11 23:37:30] - a: https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-leans-on-elon-musks-starlink-in-fight-against-russia-11657963804 I don't know much about Starlink, but I suspect there are Ukrainians who would disagree that it's a joke. -Paul
[2022-08-11 23:36:37] - a: "he didn't create tesla" Sure, he's not the founder, but is there any doubt that Tesla wouldn't be anywhere near where it is today without Musk? I think thousands of people would disagree with you about FSD being a joke... -Paul
[2022-08-11 20:47:31] - xpovos: "So if they cannot, it's a bad sign" i agree with this, but i think tesla FSD cannot. once we see a study that says they can, i'll change my mind, but in my opinion, FSD doesn't solve anything today, and although drivers are pretty shitty, tesla is worse. maybe some day. a better solution for today is to change the rest of the world: less *mandatory* *minimums* for parking at bars would be a great start. ~a
[2022-08-11 20:45:51] - xpovos: but i've never been in anything else. i don't know anything about the state of non-tesla fsd. ~a
[2022-08-11 20:45:15] - xpovos: "It's remarkably hard for someone not intimately involved to know how good (or not) the various competitors and innovators are" this is true. i've been in tesla FSD a few times and it's comically bad. worse than an average drunk driver (let's say *at* 0.08 for the sake of arguments). ~a
[2022-08-11 18:58:01] - But related, my points from this morning were about impaired drivers. I firmly believe that 99% (possibly more) human drivers are driving at least partially impaired regardless. Fatigue, distraction, etc. are all impairments as well. We have a good sense of how bad the average and median human drivers are. And they're not good. It feels like a low bar to cross for FSD. So if they cannot, it's a bad sign. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-11 18:56:03] - a: I don't know if Tesla's FSD is anywhere near that level, I used FSD there as a catch-all for all FSD technology, not just Tesla's. I don't even know if Tesla's is the most advanced. I was likely eye-wooled by a PR stunt Waymo pulled a few years back, e.g. It's remarkably hard for someone not intimately involved to know how good (or not) the various competitors and innovators are. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-11 18:45:26] - paul: omg, i can't believe i left out hyperloop. should i have left out hyperloop? ~a
[2022-08-11 18:36:25] - paul: we'll lean heavily on the "or", because nothing about his swindling is small-scale.
~a[2022-08-11 18:35:28] - paul: i read your definition of "grifter" and say it definitely applies to elon musk. ~a
[2022-08-11 18:34:44] - paul: "burning desire for people to diminish his accomplishments" can we iterate the accomplishments, please? he didn't create tesla, he didn't create paypal, FSD is a joke, starlink is a joke, where he tortured those monkey's is criminal. i'll credit him for his accomplishments in spacex (OTHER than starlink), but that's it. i'll diminish his OTHER accomplishments all day long, and give him full props for spacex other than starlink. ~a
[2022-08-11 18:09:51] - I get why a lot of people don't like him personally, but I don't really get the burning desire for people to diminish his accomplishments. Regardless of what you think of the man, it's really hard to ignore the huge impact he has had on so many aspects of American life (PayPal, Tesla, SpaceX). -Paul
[2022-08-11 18:08:56] - a: Oof, that's tough. A grifter is "a person who engages in petty or small-scale swindling". Nikola Tesla was brilliant, but didn't he die penniless? So I guess I wouldn't disagree much that Musk is a grifter and NOT the Tesla of our time.... but I also would say he's a brilliant and wildly successful innovator and entrepreneur. -Paul
[2022-08-11 17:00:00] - i remember reading about hyperloop when it came out with baited breath. i remember (non-sarcastically) thinking that musk was the tesla (or davinci, etc) of our time. ~a
[2022-08-11 16:58:13] - "Musk admitted to his biographer Ashlee Vance that Hyperloop was all about trying to get legislators to cancel plans for high-speed rail in California—even though he had no plans to build it." ok, this showed up in an actual article now: time.com. elon musk is a fucking grifter. ~a
[2022-08-11 15:14:07] - Daniel: Thanks! I hear this is the way to win. -Paul
[2022-08-11 14:22:44] - xpovos: FSD won't solve drunk driving (not in the short term, and probably/maybe not in my lifetime). here's a fun fact about drunk driving i learned recently: bars have mandatory minimums for parking! iow, they can't choose how many parking spots for cars to put outside their bars where they serve alcohol. no, instead they are legally obligated to put a minimum number of parking spots to be (essentially) used by drunk drivers. ~a
[2022-08-11 14:19:43] - xpovos: "as long as it is statistically significantly lower than humans, per mile" what makes you think tesla's FSD is anywhere near this level? for what it's worth, FSD users are very much not a statistical sampling of the united states, so i have a feeling that FSD is much much worse than you think it is. ~a
[2022-08-11 10:22:47] - And if FSD isn’t beating these drunk, inattentive, sex act receiving miserable human drivers (on average) then we have no business discussing anything AI connected to the real world. — Xpovos
[2022-08-11 10:21:22] - I’ve read so many horror stories about drunk drivers these past two weeks that I’m currently willing to let FSD drive over children on a regular and repeating basis, as long as it is statistically significantly lower than humans, per mile. I mean I’ve always been there, but even more now. — Xpovos
[2022-08-11 01:49:13] - mig: it seems like merrick garland wasn't done ~a
[2022-08-10 20:06:51] - paul: Also welcome to the two picks in the first round club. Not many others have worked to join me here.
-Daniel[2022-08-10 20:04:29] - Paul: Pretty sure it was Zeke who you needed the one last yard / touchdown to beat me. -Daniel
[2022-08-10 19:25:15] - a: Don't recall any recent constant contact commercials. -Paul
[2022-08-10 19:25:03] - I owned shares of NVTA a few years ago....
-Paul[2022-08-10 18:54:23] - a: i used to hear them on the radio a lot. - mig
[2022-08-10 18:45:52] - has anybody seen any "constant contact" advertisements? i think it's one of the best ad campaigns i've seen recently. i've only seen two of the ads so far, and both of them are extremely weird. ~a
[2022-08-10 18:45:42] - paul: well good luck to you both. tim on the other hand . . . ~a
[2022-08-10 18:45:11] - a: And it's not like I am doing well. Daniel was bragging recently about how he was kicking my ass in the fantasy league and I can't even really dispute that other than complain about stupid Devante Parker and... was it Zeke the other time? Or Alfred Morris? -Paul
[2022-08-10 18:26:40] - Daniel: Agreed. It's why I was in favor of the deal. -Paul
[2022-08-10 18:19:44] - Paul: sure - I don't think the trade is that crazy on its own but generally speaking trading into the first round requires a premium because it being in the first round opens up more options than a 2nd round pick. -Daniel
[2022-08-10 18:15:13] - Daniel: I can tell you what I told Tim: Between the other picks Henry has, he is basically moving down a single spot with the 1st -> 2nd move. The 14th -> 15th move also helps him as he has two 15th round keepers. So from his standpoint, he is moving down one spot overall from the 10th pick and getting upgrades in the 5th and... 11th? rounds. -Paul
[2022-08-10 18:13:32] - a: Regarding the FSD running over children, apparently there is some debate over whether they actually had FSD activated: https://electrek.co/2022/08/10/tesla-self-driving-smear-campaign-releases-test-fails-fsd-never-engaged/ -Paul
[2022-08-10 18:05:36] - a: Paul made a trade in our Fantasy League. It raised my eyebrow but isn't anything crazy but Tim was casting aspersions on it. -Daniel
[2022-08-10 17:37:44] - or something similar. ~a
[2022-08-10 17:37:33] - let me guess . . . tim is complaining that paul is doing well? ~a
[2022-08-10 17:36:04] - paul: I'm not Tim but I was also surprised at how little you had to trade to move up into the first round - though I get its only like three actual picks higher there is generally a premium for those first round picks. -Daniel
[2022-08-10 17:22:38] - in other elon musk news ~a
[2022-08-10 17:14:29] - yeah, i think neither of them are wrong, or even misleading. but it is a bit confusing. especially if you aren't specific. i wonder, when he was answering questions, if anybody asked him about that. ~a
[2022-08-10 17:12:18] - a: Almost everywhere I see has called July's inflation number 8.5%, even though I know reasonable people can look at it month over month instead of year over year. -Paul
[2022-08-10 17:11:15] - a: "but what about inflation are you suggesting?" Uh... nothing? It was mostly a joke about how there's lots of spin around terms like "recession" and "inflation" and it's funny/concerning to see social media weigh in on one side. -Paul
[2022-08-10 16:45:16] - "so there are five people [holds up five fingers] taking the fifth amendment, like you see on the mob [sic], right? you see the mob takes the fifth. if you're innocent, why are you taking the fifth amendment?" (donald trump) my apologies if you've seen this quoted elsewhere already, but he had to be able to foresee this eventuality right? i'm, like, surprised it never came up that he had to take the fifth . . . before 2016? ~a
[2022-08-10 16:37:28] - paul: the annual inflation rate went down a substantial amount too. 9% to 8.5% is a huge drop. i'm guessing it's all noise, though, i predict inflation in august will be high. ~a
[2022-08-10 16:32:21] - ugh, i just googled the definition of yoy. it could be i meant to say "annual inflation rate". my bad. ~a
[2022-08-10 16:29:48] - 295.271/272.184-1 is what i see for yoy, but i could be doing it wrong. ~a
[2022-08-10 16:29:01] - paul: i follow your thing about facebook, but what about inflation are you suggesting? do you think the BLS is lying? or do you not think there was (technically and maybe irrelevantly) zero inflation in the month of july? the inflation was definitely not 8.5% in july, but the yoy inflation does appear to be 8.5%. ~a
[2022-08-10 16:21:05] - paul: i'll credit musk (and spacex) with making starlink a reality. at least with starlink, it exists and it works. the downside is that it'll never come close to turning a profit. so eventually it'll be scrapped, that is my bold prediction. ~a
[2022-08-10 16:20:09] - https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1557372364173746179 How long until Facebook starts fact checking anybody who says inflation was 8.5% in July?
-Paul[2022-08-10 16:07:35] - a: TTD: The Trade Desk. Programmatic advertising. Riding the trend of advertising moving to connected TV (streaming services) and the fall of walled gardens like Facebook. -Paul
[2022-08-10 16:06:56] - a: What's wrong with starlink? Pretty much the only thing I know about it is they sent it to Ukraine to help against Russia.
-Paul[2022-08-10 16:05:58] - a: No idea if the hyperloop is a fantasy, but from everything I had heard, the California high speed rail was a fantasy.... and an expensive one at that. I was far more hopeful for something new that wasn't going to cost a ton of government money. -Paul
[2022-08-10 15:59:40] - In conclusion, musk getting in the way of hsr (high speed rail) is why I hate musk, and Hyperloop being pure fantasy (and maybe also with bad intent) is also why I hate musk. I also hate what bullshit starlink is. ~a
[2022-08-10 15:53:36] - mig: what's more, high speed rail exists all around the world. tons government entities (with private companies) are making it happen. ~a
[2022-08-10 15:51:53] - mig: "I just don't trust any US government entity to make it happen reliably" yeah, i'd expect a public/private partnership, but that's what happens like 100% of the time we get rail or road or bus-line projects like this. ~a
[2022-08-10 15:50:46] - a: Sure, high speed rail everywhere would be great. I just don't trust any US government entity to make it happen reliably. - mig
[2022-08-10 15:50:35] - . . . the stock ttd? i've never heard of them, but i do see the increase today. what's ttd? i feel like a 50% change in a stock seems to volatile. ~a
[2022-08-10 15:49:52] - a: All I know about the hyperloop was that it was an "out there" idea, so probably fantasy. - mig
[2022-08-10 15:49:11] - Random aside: I had some TTD leaps that I had to sell recently to raise some money and I'm kind of regretting that today.
-Paul[2022-08-10 15:49:11] - paul: "You think the California high speed rail project was a good idea?" i'd love high speed rail in california of all places. the hyperloop is 100% fantasy, can we at least agree on that? ~a
[2022-08-10 15:45:49] - a: No idea if that Musk thing is true. But I'm curious why it would make you hate him. You think the California high speed rail project was a good idea? -Paul
[2022-08-10 15:44:50] - a: "do you think there could be some blind spots in the US senate?" I don't know. I'm open to the idea. What is the theory, though? I mean, when you have the system we have with 2 parties and first past the post and it's not the top 100 vote getters but instead the top vote getter in 100 separate elections.... I can see how you might get skews like we have. -Paul
[2022-08-10 15:43:31] - mig: "these people" you mean the merrick garland i assume? merrick garland isn't exactly the most partisan politician in the world. ~a
[2022-08-10 15:43:00] - mig: but what he did doesn't help. i guarantee that high speed rail in california will EVENTUALLY in spite of the stupidity of the californian politicians. and if musk has his way, it'll suck balls for everyone who isn't a tesla or ford shareholder. what am i talking about, it'll suck for them too. ~a
[2022-08-10 15:41:14] - a: even if it's 100% true ... Looking at CA's woes with high speed rail, the vast majority of the problems seem to be coming from the government of California. - mig
[2022-08-10 15:40:13] - https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-mar-a-lago-fbi-search-99097089194e736315c366a0e8fbafee been following this and am very confused. Is all this really about some documents the National Archives wants? Do these people *want* Trump running again? Because this seems like it'll make it more likely he'll run (and possibly win) again. - mig
[2022-08-10 15:30:34] - jfc is this real? the source is pretty biased, so i could totally imagine it being . . . half true? regardless, it seems like i hate musk more and more every day. ~a
[2022-08-10 15:09:03] - paul: do you think there could be some blind spots in the US senate? what with the context of being ~96% white when the US demographics are 60% white? ~a
[2022-08-10 15:05:59] - yes. ~a
[2022-08-10 15:05:51] - a: Does that at all address what you were talking about? -Paul
[2022-08-10 15:05:36] - ok. ~a
[2022-08-10 15:05:01] - a: But things get far, FAR messier when we start talking about individuals. Like this example or comparing hiring candidates or admissions to schools. Because yeah, it's okay to talk about things on average with groups. Like maybe asians are on average more affluent or males on average eat worse or whatever it is. I find it far less acceptable to apply those characteristics to individuals. -Paul
[2022-08-10 15:02:58] - a: The way I think of it is that looking at groups (emphasis on groups) by skin color can be instructive and interesting. "Are 90% of some group white? Huh. I wonder if that is some problem. Might be worth investigating if there is some racism going on or some blind spots" -Paul
[2022-08-10 14:50:21] - paul: if the difference was 60% and 70%, i'm not sure i'd notice any issues, or have any complaints. but the difference between 60% and (essentially) 100% is a bit more of a *potential* concern. ~a\
[2022-08-10 14:50:15] - paul: let me pose an alternative thought: what if we looked at a congressional body, like the united states senate, and noticed that 97% of them are white (98/101? that's my rough math). the united states is 60% white. the difference between 60% and 97% is kinda big. would you agree that there could be downsides to having a difference of 60% and 97%? (this isn't a partisan example, both parties seem to be afflicted) ~a
[2022-08-10 14:36:34] - paul: yep. but i think i already agreed that andrews is an idiot. i'm pretty sure that's how we started this conversation. (moving past andrews, though, and your ending quote, preference for diversity of skin color isn't hurtful as long as all other things are being equal, which i'll agree is rare to the point of being meaningless) ~a
[2022-08-10 14:18:42] - a: Right, but in this particular case the preference for diversity of skin color in a politician is hurtful twice over, right? First because it might be "tricking" people into thinking something about this UK politician that is untrue and second because it is actively against the diversity of thought thing. "A dark skinned person isn't supposed to think these things!" -Paul
[2022-08-10 14:11:04] - paul: i definitely agree. but, diversity of thought and opinion is usually too much to ask for. i don't think i've ever seen it in a politician. their diversity of thought and opinion is usually just masking who's paying them today vs yesterday. ~a
[2022-08-10 13:58:24] - a: Yeah, all things being equal, I prefer more diversity over less. I guess my argument is two-fold: (1) All things are almost never equal and (2) I think things like diversity of thought and opinion and experience is more valuable than diversity of skin color. -Paul
[2022-08-09 21:21:08] - paul: i'll argue it's a positive. diversity isn't everything, and i don't value it over everything else, but it's usually better than a lack of diversity, all other things being equal. ~a
[2022-08-09 21:21:06] - a: "couldn't you have just said that sunak is a tax dodger and part of a bullshit government and left all of the BS out of the title?" Yeah, that's kind of my point. If he's a bad candidate or politician, that seems to be independent of his race. -Paul
[2022-08-09 21:20:04] - a: "who's arguing this?" The author of the article? Also, I would argue, the people who overly focus on racial diversity as a positive when it comes to certain political viewpoints but not when it comes to others. -Paul
[2022-08-09 19:46:16] - "doesn't have a stereotypical background" who's arguing this? andrews is an idiot. shame on cnn for running this bullshit, it seems like a parody. couldn't you have just said that sunak is a tax dodger and part of a bullshit government and left all of the BS out of the title? maybe we're just victims of click-bait? ~a
[2022-08-09 16:35:11] - https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/08/opinions/uk-leadership-race-prime-minister-rishi-sunak-andrews/index.html Non-white leading candidate for Prime Minister in UK is not "racial progress" because he doesn't have a stereotypical background for someone of his race. It's almost as if race is an imperfect lens to view everything through. -Paul
[2022-08-05 16:07:54] - a: And so preventing just one damage off each shot is a big percentage decrease. But not so helpful against siege tanks. -Paul
[2022-08-05 16:07:22] - a: The pros probably have a lot of things memorized. They could probably tell you how many shots +2 hydras take to kill +1 armor zealots instantaneously. What I am trying to focus on now is getting a sense of what upgrades are super important given current unit comps. For example, I know armor bonuses are really powerful against carriers because they rely on lots of tiny damage shots from lots of interceptors. -Paul
[2022-08-05 15:30:29] - paul: right, i think the pro players use dps in their head. knowing the number of shots isn't as easy to calculate in your head, but dps is (maybe?)? ~a
[2022-08-05 15:22:57] - a: From listening to pro and former pro players, it sounds like the increase in damage output isn't as important as the number of shots to kill something. It makes sense if you know your opponent's unit comp. If you can kill a marine with 3 stalker shots instead of 4.... then your stalkers get 25% more effective in battle? -Paul
[2022-08-05 15:03:42] - a: https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Marine_(Legacy_of_the_Void) A fully upgraded marine will see a 50% increase to its damage per shot. -Paul
[2022-08-05 14:59:07] - a: As I understand it, the attack upgrades are almost always +1, so a fast shooting unit would see a bigger upgrade and a lower base damage unit would see a bigger percent increase. It gets complicated when you have to start thinking about how many shots it takes a stalker to kill a marine (for example) and if a +1 changes that. -Paul
[2022-08-05 14:52:38] - jfc, you're saying an attack upgrade changes stalker from 13 to 14? i expected more of a percent increase, i guess. ~a
[2022-08-05 14:52:08] - ah ok ~a
[2022-08-05 14:51:48] - a: Honestly not sure what the parenthetical means. I kind of assumed it shows how upgrades affect it. -Paul
[2022-08-05 14:51:02] - paul: "Damage: 13 (+1)" (as an example) ~a
[2022-08-05 14:50:35] - a: Uh.... it depends. I knew some of the paper rock scissors stuff (like Marauders are good against roaches) 10 years ago, although I'm not sure I could tell you which units were armored or had bonuses to armor. -Paul
[2022-08-05 14:50:06] - paul: "where they break down their attack" in this section what does the parenthetical mean? ~a
[2022-08-05 14:48:04] - a: https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Stalker_(Legacy_of_the_Void) For example, Stalkers do bonus against armored units. Look at the right side where they break down their attack. -Paul
[2022-08-05 14:47:47] - . . . basically things i should have figured out ten years ago. ~a
[2022-08-05 14:47:22] - ok thanks. ~a
[2022-08-05 14:46:58] - a: Look at the attributes on the page I sent you. I think it also says it in-game in the.... bottom middle? Units can have various tags like "armored" or "light" or "biological" that affects things like how much damage it takes from various attacks. -Paul
[2022-08-05 14:41:48] - "Phoenixes don't do well against armored units?" what's the rhyme here? what about broods are armored? like . . . how do you know they're armored? but more importantly what units are GOOD against armored units and why? ~a
[2022-08-05 14:41:46] - Daniel: Watching some Pig videos, eh?
I saw that one yesterday I think. -Paul[2022-08-05 14:40:47] - So even though they clearly will eventually win with no losses.... it might take awhile while those Broods do damage and if you see your enemy making them you're likely better off with voids. -Paul
[2022-08-05 14:40:11] - a: I agree the "why" isn't always clearly explained. In my mind, Brood Lords are armored and Phoenixes don't do well against armored units? -Paul
[2022-08-05 14:26:57] - a: I like using liquidpedia for this https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Brood_Lord_(Legacy_of_the_Void) -Paul
[2022-08-04 23:24:14] - (some of these counters make no sense to me. counter for broods isnt phoenix? or tempest? why the hell not? ~a
[2022-08-04 23:20:53] - paul: nm, I think I found it sorta. what I'm missing though is the "why". Like the rhyme/reason in the counters for many of these. ~a
[2022-08-04 23:04:09] - paul: I'm getting much better at defending a cannon rush. what I'm still shitty at is knowing what unit defeats what unit and why for all units. where do I find this??? ~a
[2022-08-04 18:05:00] - a: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OZDwjDR8dF8 some D against cannon rushes. Its hard to say if it would work exactly the same on multiplayer maps cause the ramps / enterances etc are different. Howver you can see in the first game how he pulls a probe to just patrol / block where he knows printf wants to put the cannon stuff eventually. Things like that are hard though.
-Daniel[2022-08-03 20:40:50] - I'm rooting for the Dem's but I don't agree with stuff like this. I think Pauls point below is true that its a bummer when stuff like this is incentivized. -Daniel
[2022-08-03 14:21:13] - I'm always rooting for a BTFO for Dems.... but I'm also rooting for it for Reps. This election, like all others, is just a depressing game of lose/lose. Either we get Trump-endorsed MAGA or reward the Dems for pulling this stunt. -Paul
[2022-08-03 13:34:32] - the gibbs thing i think kind of breaks me. - mig
[2022-08-03 13:30:01] - paul: at this point I'm actively rooting for Democrats to get BTFO'd this cycle. - mig
[2022-08-03 13:24:40] - https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1554683159899508737 Looks like D's got their wish. Not only increase their chances to win the general, but they can also more credibly paint all Republicans as radical extremists. -Paul
[2022-08-03 12:38:13] - a: Yes, specific task. Video editing. I do it on Windows now, but the Windows OS is very bloaty and tries to do a lot of stuff all at once, so I was hoping a streamlined OS with a narrower focus would help. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-03 12:37:13] - a: I slapped about 250 switches into racks for a contract last year. I'm pretty familiar with Us.
-- Xpovos[2022-08-02 18:46:55] - xpovos: you mention ubuntu studio. is this for a specific task? you probably just want to buy a standard pc if you're going to be using this as a multimedia station of some sort. ~a
[2022-08-02 18:45:49] - xpovos: it's not a switch. it's called a 1U. it's designed to go into a 19-inch rack (standard sized rack). the size is called a rack unit. (often switches show up in 1U rack units and this is a 1U rack unit which explains the confusion. 1U = one unit) ~a
[2022-08-02 18:44:44] - a: I can't because I have no idea what it is. All I know is that some crazy stock thing is going on with it. -Paul
[2022-08-02 18:42:56] - The R620 looks like a switch. Probably not what I need, you're right. I want to install Fedora or maybe Ubunto Studio. The PS3 is a clever idea, but I have one of those so I could do it myself if I want to go that route, and it probably isn't a good route. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-02 18:30:29] - paul: help ~a
[2022-08-02 18:28:44] - paul: can you send me the wikipedia link to AMTD Digital Inc.? i can't find it. ~a
[2022-08-02 18:24:29] - a: New plan: 100% in HKD. -Paul
[2022-08-02 18:22:19] - also that's definitely not going to by a typical linux experience. honestly i don't think the R620 is good for that either (a typical linux experience). ~a
[2022-08-02 18:21:26] - Xpovos: I have a PS3 fat that I hear people used to install linux on.... Not sure if that too old for your purposes. -Paul
[2022-08-02 18:20:02] - +.
[2022-08-02 16:47:15] - you probably want to buy an intel nuc. so small, perfect for this kind of thing. i do have an R620 (google it) that i can sell you (without hard-drives) but i doubt that's what you want. ~a
[2022-08-02 16:15:34] - Does anyone have a Linux box that's just hanging around doing nothing? Interested in selling it to me? LMK. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-02 16:02:45] - paul: i guess my point was that upside isn't necessary with 10m. but you're both right. 80/20 bond/stock mix was wrong even with 10m. how about 6m cash (and literal cds + treasury bonds), 1m bond (bond market), 3m equities. i don't need an upside with 10m. i just need to somehow avoid the inflation downside, but am intentionally ignoring upside. for what it's worth, this is nothing like my current mix because i don't have 10m.
~a[2022-08-02 15:46:51] - a: But the 80% cash portfolio doesn't have much on the upside in either scenario, where my portfolio has potentially a ton of upside in at least one of them.
-Paul[2022-08-02 15:46:15] - a: Whereas the worst case scenario for the 80% cash portfolio would be massive inflation which turns that $8 million into maybe not enough for a comfortable retirement and $2 million in equities that hopefully will keep up. -Paul
[2022-08-02 15:44:02] - a: Sure, but I guess I feel like my mix has a ton more upside with a similar amount of downside? Between the 80% cash mix and my mix, the worst case scenario for me would be low inflation and a massive stock market crash which never recovers. That would still leave me with ~$3-4 million in "safe" money (depending on how crypto goes) and $1 million in real estate to live in. That should be plenty for a comfortable retirement. -Paul
[2022-08-02 03:09:42] - xpovos/paul: i also fear inflation. definitely. but, with 10m it's a different equation? so, yes, maybe, 80% in cash is too high, even for 10m, but with my current spending, and even above-average inflation, 8m in cash and 2m in equities . . . is quite a lot of money? ~a
[2022-08-02 02:45:13] - And that people are politically unscrupulous enough to strategize that way. Support the threat to democracy in order to save democracy? -Paul
[2022-08-02 02:44:30] - mig: I'm generally "meh" on it being a bad strategy. Serves em right for playing rotten like that (except in the case of Meijer it would be a shame since he seems like a halfway decent politician, which is rare). I just hate how our political system incentivizes things like this... -Paul
[2022-08-01 20:25:23] - brat. not bart. - mig
[2022-08-01 20:24:01] - I know at least a couple people who were normally democratic voters that did so on FB who were proud of it at the time. Then lo and behold, Dave Bart ended up winning the general. It's not just that my party at all costs over country part of it that bugs me. It seems it's a really bad strategy that can backfire pretty bad. - mig
[2022-08-01 20:21:49] - paul: the problem is that while democrats are probably right that Gibbs is an inferior candidate, he could still very well win in this type of political environment. This in fact has happened before with allegedly democrats voting for a more fringy Dave Bart in Virginia over more establishment Eric Cantor to get a "worse" candidate in the general. - mig
[2022-08-01 19:57:47] - a: Not sure if your answer was 80% in cash or that was just an example, but I am kind of with Xpovos in that I think persistent high levels of inflation are likely enough that I would still want a sizeable percent in something that could help counter that. My thinking is 30% in bonds / treasuries / CDs is plenty of safe money ($3 million) for me to retire now and not worry about my risky stock investments going to zero. -Paul
[2022-08-01 19:55:24] - a: "well it depends entirely what i want to do with it" Yup! Part of what I was wondering is how much people want safety and instant retirement with current lifestyle? Versus YOLO let's go for the private island... -Paul
[2022-08-01 19:52:22] - I guess I fear inflation more than a, I'd not want to keep much in cash. But I agree that investing very aggressively seems like a poor choice there. I'd hit up reliable dividend paying companies, utilities and the like. If it were 100M not 10M I might also try a hand at financing a few pet projects, let that be my aggressive side. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-01 19:50:51] - Paul: Number one, I'd clear debt, except possibly the mortgage, but probably even that. With the tax structures as they are now the mortgage interest deduction isn't a really a thing anymore. So even though much of the debt I'm carrying is low interest, I'll take the guaranteed return. Related, number two would be a massive renovation project on the house. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-01 19:30:03] - worded differently, optimizing for 1m and a 20k/year spend (50x) is very different than optimizing for 500k and a 20k/year spend (25x). ~a
[2022-08-01 19:28:08] - paul: well it depends entirely what i want to do with it. with 10m i have no reason to be aggressive, unless i wanted to greatly increase my spending. iow, if you kept 80% of it in cash, you'd still have 2m in the stock market, which would likely be enough to live the rest of your life on.
~a[2022-08-01 19:25:41] - I had this random question over the weekend: If you won $10 million tomorrow (post tax), what would you do with it? I think I would do something like: 50% stock investments. 30% bonds / CDs / treasuries / etc, 10% crypto, and maybe 10% real estate (vacation home baby!) -Paul
[2022-08-01 15:33:47] - xpovos: I'm interested in picking your brain on how best to do this. Maybe RD meet-up this week? -Paul
[2022-08-01 15:25:45] - xpovos: oh geeze, i'm a dummy. the weird part is i even googled "PT". "virginia PT", and other various google searches and still didn't see public transit, oof. ~a
[2022-08-01 15:23:16] - Paul: I'm doing that for something like a dozen cards that I and my parents have collected over the years. We've been cleaning out a lot recently and I recognize them all as the old style. It's a pain, but maintaining the legacy code would be worse, probably. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-01 15:22:33] - a: That's pretty cool, and I'm not super annoyed about switching cards. I'm just annoyed the process that presumably everybody had to go through (transitioning from their old card to new) is so horrible. -Paul
[2022-08-01 15:22:25] - a: PT -> Public Transit in my messages below. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-01 15:21:53] - Those types would absolutely prefer a Meijer to a Gibbs. Then there is the team player types who think the victory of the team is most important and are willing to do the calculus here of supporting a candidate they have to know would be much worse on the issues, because it increases the chances of them being able to paint the other side as crazies and fundraise off of it and maybe even win a race. -Paul
[2022-08-01 15:19:33] - https://www.commonsense.news/p/why-the-democrats-are-funding-my I know Miguel brought this up earlier and I am late to this, but I think this kind of gets at there being two different types of people in politics: There are the principled types like a Greenwald who cares far more about the issues than the parties involved and will viciously go after anybody or side with anybody regardless of party affiliation... -Paul
[2022-08-01 15:15:53] - paul: right, nfc. like same technology as google pay or apple pay. you don't have to log into an app. it shows up sorta like a credit card. ~a
[2022-08-01 15:15:22] - a: What do you mean keep it on your phone? NFC? -Paul
[2022-08-01 15:14:32] - a: I don't know for sure, but I remember when I was invested in AMD like 20 years ago it was inconceivable for them to surpass Intel in market cap. And I think that was the last time (prior to now) where they were reasonably close. -Paul
[2022-08-01 15:14:24] - i like the new metro cards because you can keep it on your phone. and they work on metro buses too. that's nice. ~a
[2022-08-01 15:13:55] - physical therapy? part time? ~a
[2022-08-01 15:13:43] - Xpovos: Just rode the metro yesterday and found out my old smartrip card no longer works. Had to buy a new one ($2) and now have to jump through a bunch of hoops to figure out how to salvage my money from my old card. Ugh. WMATA.... -Paul
[2022-08-01 15:11:21] - a: Yeah, I'm going to complain about the commute, but that's the commute, not the PT part necessarily. PT isn't my favorite thing to use. But clearly not having it is far worse. Watching the system scurry to deal with the outage this morning was fascinating. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-01 15:04:11] - xpovos: oof. transit fail. that sucks, i'm sorry. i guess it's good that they're close, because you can presumably do whatever you want while on (some) transit legs. but, i'd really want the transit to be faster, cheaper, AND easier than driving, and it sounds like you basically have none of those. on the other hand, 'tis the nature of public transit in the US though. if you don't live in . . . nyc, commuting will be hard. ~a
[2022-08-01 15:01:01] - Whereas the various public transit paths take a total of 120 minutes on a good day where I catch every connection. That's honestly not much longer than driving, so I might be overestimating the traffic delays around the Beltway. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-01 14:59:24] - If I ponder a hypothetical where I could drive and park a short walk from the building, my estimated drive time would probably be 105 minutes. That depends a lot on morning/evening rushhour factors. I drove the route last night at about 11PM, and with no traffic in any meaningful matter it was about 40 minutes. -- Xpovos
[2022-08-01 14:59:11] - xpovos: mkay. i'm sorry to hear about your issue with the red line. i've always been fortunate enough to be able to avoid a multi-leg commute. i feel like once you add extra legs, you get extra chances for someone to screw up your commute. ~a
[2022-08-01 14:52:20] - They're not comparable because I'm not allowed to drive. -- Xpovos
prev <-> next